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dlisted.com » Freakonomics - Nov 4, 2008
Today, all eyes are on the U.S. presidential election. There's certainly plenty to follow, and in my latest Wall Street Journal column, David Rothschild and I begin by highlighting the most interesting markets to …
Also tagged: general, voting, 2008 election, justin wolfers
dlisted.com » Freakonomics - Oct 31, 2008
As the presidential race enters the home stretch, my most recent Wall Street Journal column assesses the likely outcomes. My conclusion probably comes as no surprise: "Barack Obama is the hot favorite to win." I begin …
Also tagged: general, 2008 election, justin wolfers
dlisted.com » Freakonomics - Oct 2, 2008
My latest column in the W.S.J. assesses whether Intrade's political prediction markets have been distorted by market manipulation: Over recent weeks we've observed a pattern of large orders for Sen. McCain on Intrade …
Also tagged: general, predictions, 2008 election, justin wolfers
dlisted.com » Freakonomics - Sep 18, 2008
My latest Wall Street Journal column about the election is titled "Making Sense of Disagreement." I start with a simple question: who is the current favorite to win the election? Polls taken since the Palin pick have …
Also tagged: general, predictions, 2008 election, justin wolfers
dlisted.com » Freakonomics - Sep 14, 2008
For those of you who put more stock in betting/prediction markets than in electoral polling, here's what you've been waiting to hear: John McCain has just narrowly pulled ahead of Barack Obama on InTrade. This is news …
Also tagged: general, predictions, 2008 election
reuters.com » Front Row Washington - Sep 2, 2008
The online prediction market Intrade sees a 12 percent chance that Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin will be withdrawn as the Republican vice presidential nominee before the U.S. presidential election on November 4. Intrade …
Also tagged: sarah palin, vice president, tales from the trail 2008
avc.blogs.com » A VC - Aug 29, 2008
My friend Alan Warms sold his small company Buzztracker to Yahoo! last year and has been doing some great work inside Yahoo! since then. Yesterday, he sent me a link to their new election dashboard service which I have …
Also tagged: politics, john mccain, barack obama, venture capital and technology
dlisted.com » Freakonomics - Aug 1, 2008
Here's The New York Times shortlist for the vice president. Here's a similar list from the Wall Street Journal. But there are some bigger differences of opinion with political prediction markets, which I reviewed in my …
Also tagged: general, 2008 election, justin wolfers
dlisted.com » Freakonomics - Jul 1, 2008
Very few readers of this blog are strangers to political prediction markets. But if you are new to this and interested in learning more, here's some help: A podcast of a talk I gave at the recent CFA Institute annual …
Also tagged: general, justin wolfers
dlisted.com » Freakonomics - May 24, 2008
I had a sobering moment a couple of years ago when I noticed that MSNBC’s recommendation engine predicted that I would enjoy stories about American Idol. It’s a guilty pleasure, but AI is one of the more normal things …
Also tagged: general, predictions, american idol, ian ayres